Small wins, big returns – Moneyweb

2026-07-14 23:24

On 29 January 2012, Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal battled for nearly six hours in the Australian Open final, the longest Grand Slam final in tennis history.

By the end, both players needed chairs brought onto the court for the trophy ceremony. It wasn’t just a match; it was a display of physical and mental resilience unlike anything tennis had seen.

Afterwards, Djokovic claims he sat in the locker room craving one thing: chocolate. Given a strict diet, he hadn’t had chocolate in over two years. When his coach handed him a slab, Djokovic broke off a single piece.

‘That was all I would allow myself,’ he said later. ‘That is what it has taken to get to number one.’

This story captures the essence of greatness – not one grand act, but the accumulation of many small, disciplined choices.

In sport, as in investing, the difference between winning and losing often lies in marginal gains: doing many things slightly better than everyone else.

At Truffle, we believe the same principle defines long-term investment success.

Building a winning legacy

Founded in 2008, Truffle has evolved over 18 years into one of the ‘larger’ boutique asset managers within South Africa’s investment sector. Our client base has expanded steadily, with assets under management increasing significantly in the last decade.

During this time, we have also received more than 30 industry awards in recognition of the consistent performance of our fund range.

Our growth is not due to a single breakthrough or an extraordinary year, but is the result of sustained effort, disciplined execution and an unwavering commitment to continuous, incremental improvement.

Just as Djokovic’s greatness is built on excelling in every aspect of his game, Truffle’s success is rooted in a disciplined investment process focused on long-term fundamentals, downside protection and avoiding the ‘bombs’.

We continue to learn and refine along the way, striving for small wins across every mandate that compound over time into exceptional results.

Lesson 1: Endurance wins the long game

Up until 2010, Djokovic was known for retiring mid-match. Critics called him a quitter. Then he transformed his approach by adopting a gluten-free, plant-based diet and cutting out sugar entirely.

The result? His 2011 season is considered one of the greatest in tennis history: three Grand Slam titles and marking the beginning of his dominance in the sport.

At 38, Djokovic remains a top contender, while legends like Pete Sampras, Andre Agassi and Andy Roddick retired years ago. His longevity is a testament to physical strength and discipline. He wins not with flashy shots, but by outlasting his opponents point after point, match after match.

Similarly, consistent outperformance in investments is achieved not through once-off ‘hot streaks’ but by playing the long game, focusing on compounding, risk management and avoiding costly mistakes.

At Truffle, our focus on downside protection and capital preservation has enabled our flexible fund mandates to capture more than 70% of market upside while limiting downside to as low as 29% since inception.

This translates into strong inflation-beating returns, with the Truffle SCI Flexible Fund achieving an annualised return of 13% from its inception in January 2011 to June 2026, demonstrating how endurance and discipline can create long-term wealth.

Lesson 2: Adaptability keeps you in the game

In 2017, Djokovic’s career was nearly derailed by an elbow injury. When he returned in 2018, he realised he needed to evolve his game.

He shortened rallies, improved his serve, came to the net more often and added variety with drop shots. His first-serve aces rose significantly, while his net approaches almost doubled. Even after winning 12 Grand Slam titles, Djokovic continued to adapt, refusing to be limited by past success.

In investing, flexibility is equally vital. Markets shift, policies change and sentiment can swing overnight, particularly in South Africa’s volatile market environment.

A rigid ‘buy-and-hold’ mindset doesn’t always work. Shares like Mr Price have strong fundamentals and, despite being a quality company, have struggled to deliver compelling returns over the last 10 years.

However, long-term success depends on timing, adaptability and the ability to recognise changing conditions.

At Truffle, our nimble structure allows us to reposition portfolios quickly yet thoughtfully.

During the 2024 general election, for example, we identified the positive implications of the government of national unity (GNU), lower inflation and interest rate cuts for apparel retailers.

A further benefit for consumers (and therefore the retail sector) in 2024 was the introduction of the two-pot retirement system. We increased our exposure to the sector, captured strong performance through to year-end and then rotated out when valuations reached fair value. This flexibility enabled us to generate 1.6% alpha across our flexible mandates over the 12-month period.

Agility, not rigidity, is what keeps portfolios resilient.

Lesson 3: Mental strength separates the good from the great

Of all Djokovic’s traits, his mental resilience sets him apart. Growing up during the Yugoslav wars, he trained under bomb raids while his family struggled to make ends meet. That adversity forged his resilience.

On court, he never crumbles, saving match points and thriving under pressure. Roger Federer once revealed that even he, one of the greatest ever, won only 54% of all points he played in his career.

The difference between great and exceptional lies in how quickly you recover from the points you lose.

In investing, mental strength plays the same role. Everyone in this industry is intelligent. What separates the best from the rest is emotional control. The ability to stay calm amid volatility, reassess rather than react, and acknowledge mistakes without letting ego get in the way.

At Truffle, we embrace humility, discipline and continuous learning. Our investment process has evolved not through radical change, but through refinement, shaped by the lessons learned from both wins and losses.

Small margins, big outcomes

The comparison between Djokovic and his rival Andy Murray illustrates the point.

Across most statistics – first-serve percentage, break points and total points won – Djokovic is only marginally better. Yet those tiny advantages have compounded into 24 Grand Slam titles, compared with Murray’s three.

Andy Murray Novak Djokovic
3 Grand Slams 24
82% Serve games won 86%
74% First serve points won 74%
180kmph Average serve speed 188kmph
58% First serve % in 65%
43% Breakpoints won 44%
62% Breakpoints saved 65%
52% Total points won 54%

The same principle applies to investing. Long-term success is rarely the result of one perfect call. Instead, it’s about consistently making small, smart decisions.

This means reducing costs, staying composed, avoiding emotional trades and improving every aspect of the process by 1% at a time.

Like tennis players, who are measured by Grand Slam titles, fund managers are measured by long-term performance.

Since its inception, the Truffle SCI Flexible Fund has delivered strong, risk-adjusted returns by providing equity-like growth with significantly lower volatility, an ideal balance for clients approaching or in retirement who need both stability and real returns.

Point by point, win by win

One point may seem small. But point by point becomes a set. Sets become matches. Matches become legacies.

In the same way, investments that avoid losses and consistently compounded over time can lead to extraordinary outcomes.

Success isn’t a single defining moment. It’s the accumulation of disciplined choices, refined decisions and relentless consistency. Whether on the tennis court or in the financial markets, greatness is built point by point.

Author: Etienne Roux, CA(SA); CFA | Equity research analyst

Roux joined Truffle in 2013 as an equity analyst and currently covers various sectors, including property, healthcare, diversified industrials, gold and mid-caps. He also has portfolio management responsibilities for Truffle property mandates. He began his career at Greenwoods Chartered Accountants, where he gained invaluable experience in various sectors, including manufacturing, property and industrials.

Disclaimer

Truffle Asset Management (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP Number: 36484). Registered for Categories I and II. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to any person in any jurisdiction in which such offer or solicitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it would be unlawful to make such offer or solicitation, and is only intended for the use by the original recipient/addressee. If further distributed by the recipient, the recipient will be responsible for ensuring that such distribution does not breach any local investment legislation or regulation.

Prospective investors should inform themselves and take appropriate advice on any applicable legal requirements, taxation, and exchange control regulations in the countries of their citizenship, residence or domicile that might be relevant to the subscription, purchase, holding, exchange, redemption, or disposal of any investments.

Opinions expressed are current opinions as at the date appearing in this material only. The information is confidential and intended solely for the use of Truffle’s clients and prospective clients, and other specific addressees. It is not to be reproduced or distributed to any other person except to the client’s professional advisers.

While the information obtained is from sources we believe to be up to date and reliable, Truffle does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Truffle does not accept any liability for inaccurate or incomplete information contained, or for the correctness of any opinions expressed. Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

info@truffle.co.za | +11 035 7337 | truffle.co.za

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