{"id":11447,"date":"2026-07-10T00:29:40","date_gmt":"2026-07-10T00:29:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/?p=11447"},"modified":"2026-07-10T00:29:40","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T00:29:40","slug":"beaten-down-stock-lets-you-buy-spacex-below-market-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/?p=11447","title":{"rendered":"Beaten-down stock lets you buy SpaceX below market price"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p><strong>SpaceX<\/strong> (SPCX) is the most crowded new trade on Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p>It was priced at <strong>$135<\/strong> in June, spiked above <strong>$225<\/strong>, then settled near <strong>$150<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The banks that took SpaceX public were barred from publishing research on it until July 7. The moment that ban lifted, six of them initiated coverage, all with <strong>buy ratings<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Then, <strong>Deutsche Bank<\/strong>\u2019s analyst team said something the others did not: You can buy the same rocket company for <strong>roughly 20% less<\/strong> than what the market is charging.<\/p>\n<h2>Deutsche Bank calls EchoStar a discounted play on SpaceX stock<\/h2>\n<p>The discounted company is <strong>EchoStar <\/strong>(SATS), the <strong>satellite and wireless firm<\/strong> behind DISH TV, Sling, and Boost Mobile.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Analyst Bryan Kraft resumed coverage on <strong>July 7<\/strong> with a <strong>buy<\/strong><strong>rating<\/strong> and a <strong>$143 target<\/strong>, according to CNBC.<\/p>\n<p><strong>More SpaceX Coverage:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Morgan Stanley sends strong signal on SpaceX stock price target<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Goldman Sachs revamps SpaceX stock price target for 2026<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>SpaceX Nasdaq fast-track just left the S&amp;P 500 flat-footed<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The gap opened after the IPO. In the month since SpaceX listed, EchoStar <strong>fell 23%<\/strong>, while SpaceX <strong>climbed 19%<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As a result of this, EchoStar buyers now <strong>pay less<\/strong> for those SpaceX shares than SpaceX buyers do. As Kraft put it, SATS investors are &#8220;<strong>buying SPCX at a 20% discount<\/strong>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The note landed the same morning SpaceX joined the Nasdaq-100, which drew billions in passive buying.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<p>                        <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/.image\/NDA6MDAwMDAwMDAzMTA3NDQ5\/spacex_pl_090726.jpg?profile=rss\" height=\"675\" width=\"1013\"><figcaption>SpaceX shares have retreated from their post-IPO peak, and one satellite company has fallen further.<\/p>\n<p>Sven Piper &amp;sol; Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>How EchoStar ended up holding $11 billion of SpaceX stock<\/h2>\n<p>EchoStar did not buy into SpaceX. It sold something SpaceX wanted.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>SATS agreed to hand over its <strong>AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses<\/strong>, according to EchoStar\u2019s investor relations page.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Payment arrived partly as roughly <strong>$11 billion of SpaceX Class A shares<\/strong>, valued then at <strong>$212 apiece<\/strong>, Investopedia reported.<\/p>\n<h3>Two terms worth knowing<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Spectrum licenses are government rights to transmit over specific radio frequencies. Starlink needs them to reach ordinary phones.<\/li>\n<li>Class A shares are the ordinary, lower-voting stock. Musk holds supervoting Class B stock, so EchoStar gets economics without control.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>The discount math on EchoStar stock, step by step<\/h2>\n<p>The stake&#8217;s net asset value works out to <strong>$121.46 per EchoStar share<\/strong>, Intellectia reported. EchoStar also closed at <strong>$96.28<\/strong> on <strong>July 8<\/strong>. That is about <strong>79 cents<\/strong> on the dollar.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Apply the same to SpaceX at <strong>$148.26<\/strong>, and an EchoStar buyer picks up the rocket company for nearly <strong>$118 a share<\/strong>. Deutsche Bank goes further, arguing the rest of EchoStar comes free.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Related: Trump floats intriguing Elon Musk, SpaceX plan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two things complicate that. The <strong>$212<\/strong> mark comes before the <strong>5-for-1 split<\/strong> SpaceX ran in <strong>May<\/strong>, so it equals <strong>about $42<\/strong> in today&#8217;s shares.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That means the stake has <strong>gained value<\/strong> rather than lost it, Yahoo Finance reported.<\/p>\n<p>Nothing is free, either, while a <strong>$24.6 billion debt<\/strong> sits on the books. These discounts usually exist for a reason, and EchoStar has more than one.<\/p>\n<h2>Why EchoStar stock trades at a discount in the first place<\/h2>\n<p>The discount is not a market error; it is a price tag on real damage.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Three things went wrong in six weeks<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The <strong>DISH DBS pay-TV<\/strong> subsidiary filed for<strong>Chapter 11 bankruptcy<\/strong><strong>protection<\/strong> on <strong>June 30<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Hamid Akhavan<strong>resigned on July 6<\/strong> from his roles at EchoStar after board discussions about a <strong>change in strategic direction<\/strong>, Light Reading reported. Founder and CEO Charlie Ergen absorbed his duties at Hughes.<\/li>\n<li>The SpaceX IPO itself hurt the stock, because investors who bought EchoStar for indirect exposure could buy the real thing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The company also warned in its <strong>first-quarter 10-Q<\/strong> that substantial doubt exists about its ability to continue as a going concern until the spectrum sales close.<\/p>\n<h3>Lockups, taxes, and the catch nobody mentions<\/h3>\n<p>A discount you cannot access is not a discount.<\/p>\n<p>SpaceX replaced the usual single <strong>180-day lockup<\/strong> with a tiered schedule that frees shares in <strong>7% increments<\/strong> between <strong>days 70 and 135<\/strong>, Morningstar explained.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Early backers<\/strong> can also sell<strong> up to 20%<\/strong> of their holdings two trading days after the first post-IPO earnings report, Investing.com noted.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Renaissance Capital<\/strong> called it among the <strong>most complicated<\/strong> ever written, Fortune reported.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>EchoStar has not said where its stake sits in that schedule, which is <strong>the biggest question here.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>What EchoStar investors should watch next<\/h2>\n<p>Three things decide whether the thesis survives contact with reality.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>EchoStar is expected to report <strong>second-quarter results<\/strong> on <strong>July 30<\/strong>. Any disclosure on lockup terms, or on whether management will hold or sell the stake, resolves most of the ambiguity.<\/li>\n<li>SpaceX reports its <strong>first quarter<\/strong> as a public company shortly after, which triggers the<strong> first 20% unlock tranche<\/strong> for early backers.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ergen&#8217;s strategy<\/strong>. He took back operational control of Hughes for a reason, and has never been a passive holder.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>EchoStar is no substitute for owning SpaceX directly. It is a leveraged, restructuring satellite company holding a large stake in a rocket maker, and the discount pays you for that.<\/p>\n<p>Investors comfortable with that balance sheet get cheaper access to a stock Wall Street just blessed six times over.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Everyone else should note that even Deutsche Bank&#8217;s <strong>$143 target<\/strong> sits only <strong>18%<\/strong> above the SpaceX value it says is already on the books.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Related: SpaceX investors may be ignoring troubling trend<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>#Beatendown #stock #lets #buy #SpaceX #market #price<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SpaceX (SPCX) is the most crowded new trade on Wall Street. It was priced at $135 in June, spiked above $225, then settled near $150.\u00a0 The banks that took SpaceX&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11448,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[246],"tags":[1440,152,6259,33,100,1843,91],"class_list":["post-11447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-popular","tag-beatendown","tag-buy","tag-lets","tag-market","tag-price","tag-spacex","tag-stock"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11447\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fintechpulse8.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}